{"id":18246,"date":"2024-07-18T00:00:05","date_gmt":"2024-07-18T03:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nogoyatimes.com\/?p=18246"},"modified":"2024-07-18T00:21:12","modified_gmt":"2024-07-18T03:21:12","slug":"nuevos-pronosticos-preven-que-podria-retrasarse-la-llegada-de-fenomeno-la-nina","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nogoyatimes.com\/?p=18246","title":{"rendered":"Nuevos pron\u00f3sticos prev\u00e9n que podr\u00eda retrasarse la llegada de fen\u00f3meno \u201cLa Ni\u00f1a\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

Meteorolog\u00eda<\/h2>\n

Los modelos clim\u00e1ticos son cada vez m\u00e1s inciertos sobre la llegada de La Ni\u00f1a. Sigue habiendo incertidumbres, pero ahora la llegada \u201cparece m\u00e1s probable\u201d reci\u00e9n entrada la primavera.\u00a0Qu\u00e9 intensidad prev\u00e9n que tendr\u00e1<\/i>.<\/p>\n

Contrariamente a lo que indicaban muchos pron\u00f3sticos de meses anteriores, a mediados de julio todav\u00eda se registran condiciones neutras de El Ni\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

En cuanto al comportamiento atmosf\u00e9rico, \u201cla convecci\u00f3n tropical, los vientos de bajo y alto nivel sobre el Pac\u00edfico Ecuatorial tambi\u00e9n se han mantenido cercanos a lo normal en las \u00faltimas semanas. Por lo tanto, todo el sistema acoplado oc\u00e9ano-atm\u00f3sfera est\u00e1 experimentando condiciones ENOS neutrales en este momento\u201d, indica un informe difundido por\u00a0Meteored<\/i>.<\/p>\n

Los pron\u00f3sticos anteriores<\/b>
\nDurante la fase final de El Ni\u00f1o 2023-24, a mediados de abril, los modelos clim\u00e1ticos comenzaron a indicar una r\u00e1pida transici\u00f3n hacia La Ni\u00f1a que, seg\u00fan pron\u00f3sticos oficiales de entonces, pod\u00eda desarrollarse entre los meses de junio y agosto. Sin embargo, con el paso de los meses los modelos comenzaron a posponer su llegada.<\/p>\n

En los primeros meses de este a\u00f1o \u201cuna intensa burbuja de aguas m\u00e1s fr\u00edas de lo normal comenz\u00f3 a intensificarse en la regi\u00f3n occidental y se desplaz\u00f3 hacia el este del Pac\u00edfico Ecuatorial, mezcl\u00e1ndose con la superficie del agua, generando un r\u00e1pido enfriamiento\u201d.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, \u201ca partir de mayo estas aguas subterr\u00e1neas m\u00e1s fr\u00edas perdieron fuerza, reduciendo el ritmo de enfriamiento en la capa m\u00e1s superficial del Pac\u00edfico Ecuatorial\u201d.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n

Las anomal\u00edas de temperaturas<\/i><\/p>\n

Al ver este cambio en la capa subsuperficial, los modelos clim\u00e1ticos comenzaron a\u00a0posponer la llegada de La Ni\u00f1a en sus proyecciones e incluso empezaron a predecir una Ni\u00f1a menos intensa, proyectando que el pr\u00f3ximo evento alcanzar\u00eda, como mucho, la categor\u00eda de intensidad moderada<\/b>.<\/p>\n

\u00bfCu\u00e1ndo llegar\u00e1 La Ni\u00f1a, finalmente?<\/b>
\nSeg\u00fan la \u00faltima actualizaci\u00f3n del Centro de Predicci\u00f3n Clim\u00e1tica (CPC), se espera que las condiciones neutras contin\u00faen en los pr\u00f3ximos meses, con\u00a0La Ni\u00f1a favorecida para emerger entre agosto y octubre<\/b>\u00a0(70% de probabilidad),\u00a0persistiendo durante el verano<\/b>\u00a0del hemisferio sur de 2024-25 (79% de probabilidad durante noviembre-enero).<\/p>\n

Ahora los pron\u00f3sticos indican que\u00a0La Ni\u00f1a probablemente surgir\u00e1 durante los meses de primavera del hemisferio sur (entre septiembre y noviembre)<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Otros organismos internacionales apuestan por un\u00a0inicio m\u00e1s tard\u00edo de La Ni\u00f1a. La Oficina de Meteorolog\u00eda de Australia dice que si La Ni\u00f1a se desarrolla<\/b>, probablemente comenzar\u00e1 entre septiembre y octubre, es decir, a mediados de la primavera. La agencia filipina PAGASA espera que La Ni\u00f1a se confirme entre los meses de octubre y diciembre, prolong\u00e1ndose hasta el primer trimestre de 2025. Fuente: El Once<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Escuch\u00e1 La 100 #Nogoy\u00e1<\/strong><\/a> en vivo<\/strong>\u00a0Seguinos en\u00a0<\/strong>Facebook<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0Seguinos en\u00a0<\/strong>Twitter<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

Nogoy\u00e1 Radios es una Agencia de Medios que cuenta con espacios publicitarios adecuados para la difusi\u00f3n de su Empresa, Profesi\u00f3n y\/o Servicios.<\/em><\/strong>#Nogoy\u00e1<\/em><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0Radios 3435-425167 \/ 3435-616203 contacto@nogoyaradios.com<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Meteorolog\u00eda Los modelos clim\u00e1ticos son cada vez m\u00e1s inciertos sobre la llegada de La Ni\u00f1a. Sigue habiendo incertidumbres, pero ahora la llegada \u201cparece m\u00e1s probable\u201d reci\u00e9n entrada la primavera.\u00a0Qu\u00e9 intensidad prev\u00e9n que tendr\u00e1. Contrariamente a lo que indicaban muchos pron\u00f3sticos…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18247,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,21,17],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18246","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","category-provinciales","category-sociedad"],"yoast_head":"\nNuevos pron\u00f3sticos prev\u00e9n que podr\u00eda retrasarse la llegada de fen\u00f3meno \u201cLa Ni\u00f1a\u201d - Nogoy\u00e1 Times<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/nogoyatimes.com\/?p=18246\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Nuevos pron\u00f3sticos prev\u00e9n que podr\u00eda retrasarse la llegada de fen\u00f3meno \u201cLa Ni\u00f1a\u201d - Nogoy\u00e1 Times\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Meteorolog\u00eda Los modelos clim\u00e1ticos son cada vez m\u00e1s inciertos sobre la llegada de La Ni\u00f1a. Sigue habiendo incertidumbres, pero ahora la llegada \u201cparece m\u00e1s probable\u201d reci\u00e9n entrada la primavera.\u00a0Qu\u00e9 intensidad prev\u00e9n que tendr\u00e1. 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